23.–24. März 2026
CAS
Europe/Berlin Zeitzone

Post-Bayesian beliefs

24.03.2026, 09:30
45m
CAS

CAS

Sprecher

Jeremias Knoblauch

Beschreibung

In this talk, I provide my perspective on the efforts to develop inference procedures with Bayesian characteristics that go beyond Bayes' Rule as an epistemological principle. I will explain why these efforts are needed, as well as the forms which they take. As an example, I will focus on the recently developed predictively oriented (PrO) posterior, which expresses epistemic uncertainty as a consequence of predictive ability.

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