23.–24. März 2026
CAS
Europe/Berlin Zeitzone

Can a statistical model be true?

24.03.2026, 10:15
45m
CAS

CAS

Sprecher

Jan-Willem Romeijn

Beschreibung

In statistics it is often said that "All models are wrong but some are useful". This dictum seems to suggest that statistical models are somehow truth-apt, or factive. In my talk I investigate how we might conceptualize statistical models so that they are, and I argue that ideas on the factivity and truth-aptness of models can be used to clarify certain debates over statistical methodology. Finally, in pragmatist spirit, I will consider if we can relate the truth of models to their usefulness.

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